Country Risk Update
Welcome to the latest issue of D&B Country Risk Update. This FREE newsletter features D&B Country RiskLine Reports - an excellent source of information and analysis for those involved in international trade and direct business investment.
Global Economic Outlook: Advanced countries drive growth
Although US growth data for Q1 have been revised downwards (from initial growth of 0.1%), to post an annualised quarter-on-quarter contraction of 1.0%) we remain broadly positive about global prospects in 2014. Advanced economies, led by the US, the UK and Japan continue to strengthen, but growth is forecast to slow in major emerging markets, including Brazil, China and Russia. Meanwhile, a number of headwinds remain, including vulnerabilities in China (in the property sector provincial government finances and heavy industry), low inflation in Europe (deflation would impact recovery), ever-shifting expectations around the timing of monetary policy tightening by central banks (foremost by the US Federal Reserve), and political risk premiums. The latter remain elevated (albeit easing) in the context of the Syrian civil war and the separatist conflict in Ukraine. The army coup in Thailand also underlined the sharp urgency of mid.
FEATURED COUNTRIES FOR JUNE 2014
|Angola||Investment and diversification efforts boost non-oil generated tax revenues.|
|Egypt||A low presidential election turnout highlights a lack of support for the political system.|
|Germany||Insolvency risk is falling but payments performance is on a deteriorating trend.|
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